Jakarta – A number of political parties (parpol) are certain to stroll into Senayan with ease, although the rest will have to be satisfied with failing to send any representatives to the national House of Representatives (DPR).
Based on data from a number of survey institutions that released quick counts, it is already apparent which parties are likely to qualify.
The requirements for political parties to qualify for a seat in parliament is that they must pass the parliamentary threshold of 4 percent of the vote.
Most of the survey institutions are predicting that that there will be eight political parties that qualify for Senayan.
They are the ruling Indonesian Democratic Party of Struggle (PDI-P), the Golkar Party, the Greater Indonesia Movement Party (Gerindra), the National Awakening Party (PKB), the National Democrats (NasDem), the Justice and Prosperity Party (PKS), the Democrat Party and the National Mandate Party (PAN).
However, there are two survey institutions that have included the United Development Party (PPP) in the political party grouping that will qualify for a seat in parliament.
Charta Politika recorded that the PPP has pocketed 4.04 percent of the vote and Voxpol is showing a quick count result for the party bearing the Kabah symbol as reaching 4.15 percent.
Meanwhile if the PPP is included, 10 political parties will not qualify for a seat in parliament.
They are the Indonesian Solidarity Party (PSI), the United Indonesia Party (Perindo), the Indonesian People's Wave Party (Gelora), the People's Conscience Party (Hanura), the Labour Party, the Ummat Party, the Crescent Star Party (PBB), the Indonesian Reform Movement Party (Garuda) and the Nusantara Awakening Party (PKN).
Kompas Research and Development (Litbang Kompas) quick count
Based on Litbang Kompas quick count data which has entered 99.30 percent of the count as of Sunday February 18 at 11.42 am, eight political parties are expected to get into to Senayan, with PDI-P as the champion.
Parties that will get into parliament:
1. PDI-P (16.35 percent)
2. Golkar (14.63 percent)
3. Gerindra (13.51 percent)
4. PKB (10.72 percent)
5. NasDem (9.94 percent)
6. PKS (8.39 percent)
7. Democrat Party (7.60 percent)
8. PAN (7.06 percent)
Parties that will not get into parliament:
1. PPP (3.87 percent)
2. PSI (2.81 percent)
3. Perindo (1.38 percent)
4. Gelora (0.84 percent)
5. Hanura (0.83 percent)
6. Labour Party (0.68 percent)
7. Ummat Party (0.47 percent)
8. PBB (0.39 percent)
9. Garuda Party (0.30 percent)
10. PKN (0.23 percent)
Politika Research and Consulting (PRC) quick count
The total data entered in the PRC quick count has reaches 98.67 percent. This is the latest data as of 5.55 pm Saturday February 17.
Parties that will get into parliament:
1. PDI-P (17.12 percent)
2. Golkar (15.68 percent)
3. Gerindra (13.17 percent)
4. PKB (11.20 percent)
5. NasDem (9.52 percent)
6. Democrat Party (7.58 percent)
7. PKS (7.41 percent)
8. PAN (6.41 percent)
Parties that will not get into parliament:
1. PPP (3.68 percent)
2. PSI (2.78 percent)
3. Perindo (1.21 percent)
4. Gelora (0.99 percent)
5. Hanura (0.78 percent)
6. Labour Party (0.75 percent)
7. Ummat Party (0.54 percent)
8. PBB (0.42 percent)
9. PKN (0.39 percent)
10. Garuda Party (0.36 percent)
Poltracking quick count
Based on the Poltracking quick count that has reached 99.30 percent as of 7.52 pm yesterday, eight political parties will get into parliament while the remaining 10 will have to bite their finger nails.
Parties that will get into parliament:
1. PDI-P (16.64 percent)
2. Golkar (15.18 percent)
3. Gerindra (13.34 percent)
4. PKB (10.89 percent)
5. NasDem (9.24 percent)
6. PKS (8.17 percent)
7. Democrat Party (7.41 percent)
8. PAN (7.27 percent)
Parties that will not get into parliament:
1. PPP (3.84 percent)
2. PSI (2.89 percent)
3. Perindo (1.33 percent)
4. Gelora (0.94 percent)
5. Hanura (0.74 percent)
6. Labour Party (0.63 percent)
7. Ummat Party (0.51 percent)
8. PBB (0.41 percent)
9. Garuda Party (0.33 percent)
10. PKN (0.24 percent)
Charta Politika quick count
92.30 percent of data from the Charta Politika quick count has been entered. This data was last updated on Thursday February 14 at 9.29 am.
Parties that will get into parliament:
1. PDI-P (15.85 percent)
2. Golkar (13.65 percent)
3. Gerindra (13.57 percent)
4. PKB (10.58 percent)
5. PKS (9.92 percent)
6. NasDem (8.76 percent)
7. Democrat Party (7.66 percent)
8. PAN (7.12 percent)
9. PPP (4.04 percent)
Parties that will not get into parliament:
1. PSI (2.95 percent)
2. Perindo (1.50 percent)
3. Gelora (0.97 percent)
4. Hanura (0.83 percent)
5. Labour Party (0.65 percent)
6. Ummat Party (0.54 percent)
7. PBB (0.52 percent)
8. Garuda Party (0.43 percent)
9. PKN (0.36 percent)
Indonesian Survey Institute (LSI) quick count
The LSI is predicting that eight political parties will get into parliament. This is based on 92.15 percent of votes that were entered a day after voting on February 14 at 11.13 am.
Parties that will get into parliament:
1. PDI-P (16.80 percent)
2. Golkar (14.85 percent)
3. Gerindra (13.02 percent)
4. PKB (10.81 percent)
5. NasDem (9 percent)
6. PKS (8.28 percent)
7. Democrat Party (7.42 percent)
8. PAN (6.83 percent)
Parties that will not get into parliament:
1. PPP (3.79 percent)
2. PSI (2.90 percent)
3. Perindo (1.40 percent)
4. Gelora (1.09 percent)
5. Hanura (1 percent)
6. Labour Party (0.80 percent)
7. PBB (0.63 percent)
8. Ummat Party (0.60 percent)
9. Garuda Party (0.43 percent)
10. PKN (0.35 percent)
Voxpol quick count
Similar to Charta Politika, Voxpol is predicting that nine political parties will get into Senayan, including the PPP. However only 79.10 percent has been entered as of today, the latest being at 5.28 pm.
Parties that will get into parliament:
1. PDI-P (16.83 percent)
2. Golkar (14.76 percent)
3. Gerindra (13.54 percent)
4. PKB (11.21 percent)
5. NasDem (8.75 percent)
6. PKS (8.74 percent)
7. Democrat Party (6.97 percent)
8. PAN (6.92 percent)
9. PPP (4.15 percent)
Parties that will not get into parliament:
1. PSI (2.93 percent)
2. Perindo (1.42 percent)
3. Gelora (0.91 percent)
4. Labour Party (0.70 percent)
5. Hanura (0.68 percent)
6. Ummat Party (0.49 percent)
7. PBB (0.44 percent)
8. Garuda Party (0.32 percent)
9. PKN (0.24 percent)
This data however is only based on quick counts and not the final official result which will be issued by General Elections Commission (KPU).
The KPU only started the tiered recapitulation on February 15. The vote will be recapitulated from the sub-district, regency/municipal, provincial and national level until March 2024. (skt/pua)
[Translated by James Balowski. The original title of the article was "Daftar Parpol Lolos dan Tak Lolos DPR Versi Quick Count".]
